KKC Theory Wiki

Cinder's Bandits Were Targeting the Lackless Box, Not Tax Money

plausible motive · popularity 410 · 1 source thread

The Chandrian's repeated ambushes of Alveron's northern tax collectors were attempts to intercept the Lackless box, not opportunistic theft.

About: Cinder, The Lackless Box

Also involves: Maer Lerand Alveron, Meluan Lackless, The Chandrian, Severen, The Wise Man's Fear

The theory§

When Maer Lerand Alveron sets Kvothe the task of clearing the bandits plaguing the Eld, he frames it in the same breath as his newly formal betrothal to Meluan Lackless, pointedly remarking that the Lackless lands lie to the north, the same road on which his tax collectors have been waylaid. The ambushes began alongside the engagement negotiations, and by the time Kvothe has destroyed the bandit camp, Meluan's ancient family box has already reached Severen. The theory reads this convergence as deliberate: the band, led by Cinder, was not robbing for coin but repeatedly striking well-armed transports moving south out of Lackless territory in an effort to intercept the box before it could reach the Maer. The presence of a Chandrian leading a crew of woodland tax-robbers is otherwise inexplicable, since a single Chandrian outmatches the whole band and they have no need of money. If the Lackless box holds something the Chandrian require, the ambushes become a targeted operation rather than opportunistic theft.

Evidence§

  • Someone has been waylaying my tax collectors on the north road.” > He gave me a serious look. “The Lackless lands are in the north, you know.
    The Maer ties the ambushes to Lackless territory in the north, the OP's core link.u/Smurphilicious
  • It wasn't about the money, the ambushes started about the same time as the engagement talks.
    Timing of ambushes coincides with engagement, not opportunistic theft.u/Smurphilicious
  • They ambushed the tax collectors FOUR times, they weren't after money they were just ambushing well-armed transports coming from Lackless lands in the north in an attempt to intercept the box before it reached Meluan and the Maer.
    Core claim: repeated strikes on Lackless transports aimed at intercepting the box.u/Smurphilicious
  • Especially considering one of the Chandrian was leading the bandits.
    A Chandrian leading mere tax-robbers is the anomaly the theory explains.u/smoothie_25
  • what would the Chandrian do with the money? If their operations built on robbing tax collectors, they would have been out of business a long time ago, they don't need the money. … any Chandrian is singlehandedly way more dangerous than that whole band
    Refines motive: Chandrian need neither money nor manpower, so the box is the real target.u/-Hannah-_-
  • Tax collector wouldn't have a chest of just gold royals. They would have a collection of varied denominations. Those weren't taxes... they were a down payment.
    Supporting detail: the recovered chest's gold doesn't match ordinary tax collection.u/Sandal-Hat
  • It seems weird that Cinder's group would expect Meluan to have the Lackless box shipped through the Eld before she's even engaged to Alveron.
    CounterCounter: timing makes it odd they'd intercept the box before the engagement.u/elihu
  • Why is an immortal being having so much trouble wresting a box from a mortal family who don't even remember why they have it?
    CounterCounter: questions why an immortal Cinder couldn't simply take the box outright.u/Kit-Carson

Book refs: WMF

Tier reasoning§

tier downgraded: claim rests on timing/direction inference, not explicit text

Contributors§

Source threads§